Clacton
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Clacton? Conservative is best placed to beat Reform UK. This is based on the 2026 Clacton by-election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK winning Clacton.
The best-placed party to beat Reform is
Note: The Clacton by-election was not contested by any of the major parties. This seat was previously Conservative so it is likely they would be the best option to unseat Reform. However, with Farage on over 50% of the vote this is not the best seat for anti-Reform voting.
Nigel FarageReform UKElected
22,239 votes · 63.34%
Count BinfaceCount Binface Party
9,455 votes · 26.93%
John StevensRejoin EU
492 votes · 1.4%
Tony FrancisIndependent
432 votes · 1.23%
Pamela WalfordIndependent
371 votes · 1.06%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Labour
- Restore Britain
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Others
| Party | 2026 Clacton by-election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 63.3% | 47% |
| Conservative | 0% | 23% |
| Labour | 0% | 10% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 8% |
| Green | 0% | 6% |
| Liberal Democrats | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 36.7% | 2% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: Conservative
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.