City of Durham
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform came second last time - tactical voting may be necessary to keep Reform out next time.
Who can beat Reform in City of Durham? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in City of Durham, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
19,131 votes (47.1%)
Mary Kelly FoyLabourElected
19,131 votes · 47.1%
Mark BelchReform UK
7,374 votes · 18.2%
Mark WilkesLiberal Democrats
5,920 votes · 14.6%
Luke HolmesConservative
5,221 votes · 12.9%
Jonathan ElmerGreen
2,803 votes · 6.9%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 47.1% | 37% |
| Reform UK | 18.2% | 23% |
| Conservative | 12.9% | 13% |
| Green | 6.9% | 12% |
| Liberal Democrats | 14.6% | 11% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 0.4% | 2% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.