Chipping Barnet
Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.
Who can beat Reform in Chipping Barnet? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the average of the YouGov and More in Common MRPs, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour winning Chipping Barnet.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) disagree here, so we averaged them:
Conservative 33.6% · Labour 32.2% · Reform UK 16.2% · Green 9.7% · Liberal Democrats 6.3% · Restore Britain 1.7% · Others 0.5%
MRP prediction
- Conservative
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 36.7% | 33% |
| Labour | 42.4% | 33% |
| Reform UK | 7.8% | 14% |
| Green | 6.8% | 11% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5.1% | 6% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
| Others | 1.1% | 1% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Labour
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.