Cheltenham

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform didn't stand a candidate here at all last time - not the same as standing and doing badly, so it isn't Low.

Who can beat Reform in Cheltenham? Liberal Democrats looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Liberal Democrats winning Cheltenham.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

Liberal Democrats

25,076 votes (50.6%)

MRP prediction

Liberal Democrats
Conservative
Reform UK
Green
Labour
Restore Britain
Others

Predicted vote share by party
Party	2024 general election	26 Sep 2026
Liberal Democrats	50.6%	48%
Conservative	36.1%	27%
Reform UK	0%	9%
Green	6.4%	8%
Labour	5.4%	6%
Restore Britain	0%	1%
Others	1.6%	0%

MRP date

Liberal Democrats

48% (38–59%)

Conservative

27% (21–31%)

Reform UK

9% (6–14%)

Green

8% (4–13%)

Labour

6% (4–10%)

Restore Britain

1% (0–2%)

Liberal Democrats predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: Liberal Democrats

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.