Ceredigion Preseli
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Ceredigion Preseli? Plaid Cymru looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Plaid Cymru winning Ceredigion Preseli.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
21,738 votes (46.9%)
Ben LakePlaid CymruElected
21,738 votes · 46.9%
Mark WilliamsLiberal Democrats
6,949 votes · 15%
Jackie JonesLabour and Co-operative Party
5,386 votes · 11.6%
Karl Robert PollardReform UK
5,374 votes · 11.6%
Aled ThomasConservative
4,763 votes · 10.3%
Tomos BarlowGreen
1,864 votes · 4%
MRP prediction
- Plaid Cymru
- Reform UK
- Liberal Democrats
- Conservative
- Green
- Labour
- Restore Britain
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Plaid Cymru | 46.9% | 51% |
| Reform UK | 11.6% | 24% |
| Liberal Democrats | 15% | 7% |
| Conservative | 10.3% | 6% |
| Green | 4% | 5% |
| Labour | 11.6% | 4% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
Plaid Cymru predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: Plaid Cymru
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.