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Calder Valley

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.

Who can beat Reform in Calder Valley? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in Calder Valley, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

22,046 votes (44.4%)

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Labour
  • Conservative
  • Reform UK
  • Green
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Labour44.4%32%
Conservative26.3%22%
Reform UK15.4%22%
Green7.5%14%
Liberal Democrats5.2%5%
Restore Britain0%4%
Others1.1%1%
Labour
32% (26–39%)
Conservative
22% (18–26%)
Reform UK
22% (17–29%)
Green
14% (9–21%)
Liberal Democrats
5% (2–8%)
Restore Britain
4% (2–6%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd

Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

Source: Wikipedia — Calder Valley · retrieved 21 September 2026
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