Caerfyrddin
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Caerfyrddin? Plaid Cymru looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Plaid Cymru narrowly ahead in Caerfyrddin, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
15,520 votes (34%)
Ann DaviesPlaid CymruElected
15,520 votes · 34%
Martha O'NeilLabour
10,985 votes · 24.1%
Simon HartConservative
8,825 votes · 19.4%
Bernard HoltonReform UK
6,944 votes · 15.2%
Nick BeckettLiberal Democrats
1,461 votes · 3.2%
Will BeasleyGreen
1,371 votes · 3%
MRP prediction
- Plaid Cymru
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Labour
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Plaid Cymru | 34% | 43% |
| Reform UK | 15.2% | 27% |
| Conservative | 19.4% | 11% |
| Labour | 24.1% | 8% |
| Green | 3% | 4% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3.2% | 3% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 1.1% | 0% |
Plaid Cymru predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: Plaid CymruWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.