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Burton and Uttoxeter

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

High impact High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.

Who can beat Reform in Burton and Uttoxeter? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the average of the YouGov and More in Common MRPs, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Burton and Uttoxeter, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) disagree here, so we averaged them:

Reform UK 28.7% · Conservative 26.4% · Labour 25.8% · Green 8.4% · Liberal Democrats 4.4% · Restore Britain 4.2% · Others 1.7%

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Reform UK
  • Conservative
  • Labour
  • Green
  • Restore Britain
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Reform UK21.1%28%
Conservative30.6%25%
Labour35.6%25%
Green4.6%10%
Restore Britain0%5%
Liberal Democrats3.6%4%
Others4.5%2%
Reform UK
28% (20–35%)
Conservative
25% (21–28%)
Labour
25% (20–31%)
Green
10% (7–16%)
Restore Britain
5% (2–10%)
Liberal Democrats
4% (2–8%)
Others
2% (1–4%)

Reform UK predicted to win

Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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