Bristol South
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Bristol South? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Green narrowly ahead in Bristol South, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
18,521 votes (42.7%)
Karin SmythLabourElected
18,521 votes · 42.7%
Jai BreitnauerGreen
10,855 votes · 25%
Richard VisickReform UK
6,195 votes · 14.3%
Liz BrennanConservative
4,947 votes · 11.4%
Andrew BrownLiberal Democrats
2,721 votes · 6.3%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Green
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 42.7% | 31% |
| Green | 25% | 31% |
| Reform UK | 14.3% | 19% |
| Conservative | 11.4% | 10% |
| Liberal Democrats | 6.3% | 6% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 2% |
| Others | 0.4% | 1% |
Green predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: GreenWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.