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Bristol East

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform didn't stand a candidate here at all last time - not the same as standing and doing badly, so it isn't Low.

Who can beat Reform in Bristol East? Green looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the average of the YouGov and More in Common MRPs, which differs from the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Green winning Bristol East.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

Green

YouGov (26 September 2026) and More in Common (21 September 2026) disagree here, so we averaged them:

Green 33.3% · Labour 32.8% · Conservative 13.2% · Reform UK 11.0% · Liberal Democrats 6.7% · Restore Britain 1.8% · Others 1.3%

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Green
  • Labour
  • Conservative
  • Reform UK
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Green30.7%37%
Labour45%32%
Conservative14%10%
Reform UK0%10%
Liberal Democrats5.9%9%
Restore Britain0%1%
Others4.5%1%
Green
37% (26–50%)
Labour
32% (24–42%)
Conservative
10% (7–14%)
Reform UK
10% (6–15%)
Liberal Democrats
9% (4–17%)
Restore Britain
1% (0–3%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

Green predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd

Best placed to beat Reform: Green

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

Source: Wikipedia — Bristol East · retrieved 21 September 2026
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