Bristol Central
Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.
Who can beat Reform in Bristol Central? Green looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Green winning Bristol Central.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
Green
24,539 votes (56.6%)
Carla DenyerGreenElected
24,539 votes · 56.6%
Thangam DebbonaireLabour
14,132 votes · 32.6%
Samuel WilliamsConservative
1,998 votes · 4.6%
Robert ClarkeReform UK
1,338 votes · 3.1%
Nicholas CoombesLiberal Democrats
1,162 votes · 2.7%
MRP prediction
- Green
- Labour
- Liberal Democrats
- Conservative
- Reform UK
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Green | 56.6% | 56% |
| Labour | 32.6% | 28% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2.7% | 6% |
| Conservative | 4.6% | 5% |
| Reform UK | 3.1% | 4% |
Green predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 5th
Best placed to beat Reform: Green
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.