Brighton Pavilion
Low impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Reform's vote share was under 10% - too far back for tactical voting to matter much here.
Who can beat Reform in Brighton Pavilion? Green looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Green winning Brighton Pavilion.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
Green
28,809 votes (55%)
Siân BerryGreenElected
28,809 votes · 55%
Tom GrayLabour
14,519 votes · 27.7%
Sarah WebsterConservative
3,975 votes · 7.6%
Mark MulvihillReform UK
2,836 votes · 5.4%
Ashley RidleyLiberal Democrats
1,604 votes · 3.1%
MRP prediction
- Green
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Green | 55% | 58% |
| Labour | 27.7% | 21% |
| Reform UK | 5.4% | 8% |
| Conservative | 7.6% | 7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3.1% | 5% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 1% |
| Others | 1.2% | 0% |
Green predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 3rd
Best placed to beat Reform: Green
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.