Bridgend
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Bridgend? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Bridgend, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
16,516 votes (39.9%)
Chris ElmoreLabourElected
16,516 votes · 39.9%
Caroline JonesReform UK
7,921 votes · 19.1%
Anita BoatengConservative
6,764 votes · 16.3%
Iolo CaudyPlaid Cymru
3,629 votes · 8.8%
Mark JohnIndependent
3,338 votes · 8.1%
Debra CooperGreen
1,760 votes · 4.3%
Claire WallerLiberal Democrats
1,446 votes · 3.5%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Plaid Cymru
- Conservative
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Liberal Democrats
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 39.9% | 23% |
| Reform UK | 19.1% | 23% |
| Plaid Cymru | 8.8% | 20% |
| Conservative | 16.3% | 14% |
| Green | 4.3% | 8% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3.5% | 4% |
| Others | 8.1% | 2% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.