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Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney

2024 United Kingdom general election · 4 July 2024

Medium impact Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Reform didn't stand a candidate here at all last time - not the same as standing and doing badly, so it isn't Low.

Who can beat Reform in Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Plaid Cymru narrowly ahead in Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

16,027 votes (53.6%)

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%2024 general election26 Sep 2026
  • Reform UK
  • Plaid Cymru
  • Labour
  • Conservative
  • Green
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2024 general election26 Sep 2026
Reform UK0%27%
Plaid Cymru12.8%27%
Labour53.6%25%
Conservative12.6%7%
Green5.7%7%
Liberal Democrats4.2%4%
Restore Britain0%3%
Others11%1%
Reform UK
27% (14–38%)
Plaid Cymru
27% (14–40%)
Labour
25% (15–38%)
Conservative
7% (4–11%)
Green
7% (3–13%)
Liberal Democrats
4% (1–8%)
Restore Britain
3% (1–6%)
Others
1% (0–2%)

Plaid Cymru predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd

Best placed to beat Reform: Plaid CymruWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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