Blackpool North and Fleetwood
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Blackpool North and Fleetwood? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Blackpool North and Fleetwood, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
16,744 votes (40%)
Lorraine BeaversLabourElected
16,744 votes · 40%
Paul MaynardConservative
12,097 votes · 28.9%
Dan BarkerReform UK
9,913 votes · 23.7%
Bill GreeneLiberal Democrats
1,318 votes · 3.2%
Tina RotheryGreen
1,269 votes · 3%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Conservative
- Green
- Restore Britain
- Liberal Democrats
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 23.7% | 33% |
| Labour | 40% | 28% |
| Conservative | 28.9% | 21% |
| Green | 3% | 7% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3.2% | 4% |
| Others | 1.2% | 1% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.