Birmingham Yardley
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Birmingham Yardley? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Birmingham Yardley, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
11,275 votes (31.2%)
Jess PhillipsLabourElected
11,275 votes · 31.2%
Jody McIntyreWorkers Party of Britain
10,582 votes · 29.3%
Nora KamberiReform UK
5,061 votes · 14%
Yvonne ClementsConservative
3,634 votes · 10.1%
Roger HarmerLiberal Democrats
3,634 votes · 10.1%
Roxanne GreenGreen
1,958 votes · 5.4%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Labour
- Green
- Conservative
- Others
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 14% | 28% |
| Labour | 31.2% | 27% |
| Green | 5.4% | 15% |
| Conservative | 10.1% | 11% |
| Others | 29.3% | 9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 10.1% | 6% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.