Birmingham Selly Oak
Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.
Who can beat Reform in Birmingham Selly Oak? Labour looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Labour narrowly ahead in Birmingham Selly Oak, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
17,371 votes (45.2%)
Al CarnsLabourElected
17,371 votes · 45.2%
Simon PhippsConservative
5,834 votes · 15.2%
Erin CrawfordReform UK
5,732 votes · 14.9%
Jane BastonGreen
4,320 votes · 11.2%
Kamel HawwashIndependent
2,842 votes · 7.4%
David RadcliffeLiberal Democrats
2,324 votes · 6%
MRP prediction
- Labour
- Reform UK
- Green
- Conservative
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 45.2% | 33% |
| Reform UK | 14.9% | 22% |
| Green | 11.2% | 19% |
| Conservative | 15.2% | 15% |
| Liberal Democrats | 6% | 7% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 3% |
| Others | 7.4% | 2% |
Labour predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd
Best placed to beat Reform: LabourWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.