Basildon and Billericay
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Basildon and Billericay? Conservative looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Basildon and Billericay, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
12,905 votes (30.64%)
Richard HoldenConservativeElected
12,905 votes · 30.64%
Alex HarrisonLabour
12,885 votes · 30.59%
Stephen ConlayReform UK
11,354 votes · 27%
Edward SainsburyLiberal Democrats
2,292 votes · 5.4%
Stewart GoshawkGreen
2,123 votes · 5.1%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- Conservative
- Labour
- Green
- Liberal Democrats
- Restore Britain
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 27% | 32% |
| Conservative | 30.6% | 28% |
| Labour | 30.6% | 18% |
| Green | 5.1% | 9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5.4% | 6% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 4% |
| Others | 1.4% | 2% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: ConservativeWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.