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Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election · 18 June 2026

Medium impact Medium impact for tactical voting against Reform UK

Everything else - Reform is neither close behind, dominant, nor irrelevant here.

Who can beat Reform in Arbroath and Broughty Ferry? SNP looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has SNP narrowly ahead in Arbroath and Broughty Ferry, within the margin of error.

It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is

9,802 votes (41.1%)

MRP prediction

0%10%20%30%40%50%2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election26 Sep 2026
  • SNP
  • Reform UK
  • Labour
  • Conservative
  • Liberal Democrats
  • Restore Britain
  • Green
  • Others
Predicted vote share by party
Party2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election26 Sep 2026
SNP41.1%39%
Reform UK18.2%19%
Labour15.3%15%
Conservative19.4%12%
Liberal Democrats6.1%5%
Restore Britain0%5%
Green0%4%
Others0%1%
SNP
39% (25–53%)
Reform UK
19% (12–27%)
Labour
15% (9–23%)
Conservative
12% (7–16%)
Liberal Democrats
5% (2–10%)
Restore Britain
5% (2–11%)
Green
4% (1–9%)
Others
1% (0–3%)

SNP predicted to win · Reform UK predicted 2nd

Best placed to beat Reform: SNPWithin the poll's margin of error

Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.

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