Aberdeenshire North and Moray East
High impact for tactical voting against Reform UK
The latest MRP poll for this seat predicts Reform will win it - tactical voting may be needed to keep Reform out.
Who can beat Reform in Aberdeenshire North and Moray East? SNP looks best placed to keep Reform UK out. This is based on the 2024 United Kingdom general election result. The latest YouGov MRP prediction has Reform UK narrowly ahead in Aberdeenshire North and Moray East, within the margin of error.
It looks like the best-placed party to keep Reform out is
13,455 votes (35.2%)
Seamus LoganSNPElected
13,455 votes · 35.2%
Douglas RossConservative
12,513 votes · 32.8%
Jo HartReform UK
5,562 votes · 14.6%
Andy BrownLabour
3,876 votes · 10.1%
Ian BaileyLiberal Democrats
2,782 votes · 7.3%
MRP prediction
- Reform UK
- SNP
- Conservative
- Restore Britain
- Labour
- Liberal Democrats
- Green
- Others
| Party | 2024 general election | 26 Sep 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 14.6% | 30% |
| SNP | 35.2% | 26% |
| Conservative | 32.8% | 21% |
| Restore Britain | 0% | 7% |
| Labour | 10.1% | 6% |
| Liberal Democrats | 7.3% | 5% |
| Green | 0% | 4% |
| Others | 0% | 1% |
Reform UK predicted to win
Best placed to beat Reform: SNPWithin the poll's margin of error
Source: YouGov MRP, 26 September 2026. An MRP is a model-based estimate from polling, not an election result.